BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Madison Trinity

Class: 1A Class Rank: 35 Conference: (19-4) Overall: (19-5) Overall Strength =   76.12

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2005 Home    W *  68.98  54   49   2A  104 ( 7-17) Central Lee            -6.33     11.33                      
  2 12/03/2005 Home    W *  63.66  61   35   2A  129 ( 1-21) Columbus Junction     -11.65 *   37.65                      
  3 12/05/2005 Away    W *  71.75  57   54   2A   96 ( 9-15) Keosauqua Van Buren    -3.56      6.56                      
  4 12/09/2005 Home    W *  79.63  66   57   1A   45 (16- 8) Notre Dame              4.32      4.68                      
  5 12/13/2005 Home    W *  80.60  89   56   1A  117 ( 4-19) New London              5.29 *   27.71                      
  6 12/16/2005 Away    W *  80.88  62   42   2A  119 ( 6-16) West Burlington         5.56     14.44                      
  7 12/20/2005 Away    W *  82.55  49   32   1A   91 ( 9-13) Keokuk Stritch          7.23      9.77                      
  8 01/02/2006 Home    W *  82.57  64   41   2A  117 (10-13) Louisa-Muscatine        7.26     15.74                      
  9 01/03/2006 Away    L    76.89  39   42   3A   44 (11-11) Fort Madison            1.57     -4.57                      
 10 01/06/2006 Home    W *  68.21  58   54   2A  102 (12-10) Danville               -7.10     11.10                      
 11 01/13/2006 Away    W *  74.78  56   49   2A  104 ( 7-17) Central Lee            -0.53      7.53                      
 12 01/17/2006 Away    W *  71.40  65   45   1A  117 ( 4-19) New London             -3.91     23.91                      
 13 01/23/2006 Away    L *  72.43  45   47   1A   45 (16- 8) Notre Dame             -2.88      0.88  was 01/20 now 01/23 
 14 01/24/2006 Home    W *  80.74  67   48   1A   91 ( 9-13) Keokuk Stritch          5.43     13.57                      
 15 01/27/2006 Home    W *  82.07  68   43   2A  119 ( 6-16) West Burlington         6.76     18.24                      
 16 01/31/2006 Away    W *  71.02  56   53   2A  102 (12-10) Danville               -4.30      7.30                      
 17 02/03/2006 Home    L *  81.78  51   54   1A   12 (24- 4) Wayland WACO            6.46     -9.46                      
 18 02/06/2006 Neutral L *  84.68  55   57   1A   12 (24- 4) Wayland WACO            9.36    -11.36                      
 19 02/11/2006 Neutral W *  84.15  55   47   2A   61 (16- 6) Eldon Cardinal          8.84     -0.84                      
 20 02/14/2006 Home    W *  64.23  70   61   1A  107 ( 5-17) Farmington Harmony    -11.08     20.08                      
 21 02/17/2006 Home    W *  64.76  66   38   1A  137 ( 3-19) Winfield-Mt Union     -10.55 *   38.55                      
 22 02/22/2006 Neutral W *  67.65  48   44   1A   91 ( 9-13) Keokuk Stritch         -7.67     11.67                      
 23 02/27/2006 Away    W *  86.43  44   32   1A   45 (16- 8) Notre Dame             11.12      0.88                      
 24 03/02/2006 Neutral L *  65.68  31   52   1A   12 (24- 4) Wayland WACO           -9.64    -11.36                      
      Averages              75.31  57.3 47.2

Best game:   86.43 = 12 point win over Burlington Notre Dame
Worst game:  63.66 = 26 point win over Columbus Junction
Team stdev:   7.40